New Statistical Dynamical Intensity Forecast Models for the Indian Ocean and Southern Hemisphere
CSU Project #: 5-32465Sponsor: Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)
Primary Investigator: Andrea Schumacher
Start Date: September 22nd, 2012
End Date: September 21st, 2013
Objectives:
- Develop IR satellite and ocean heat content (OHC) databases for the Indian Ocean (IO) and S. Hemisphere (SH)
- Complete real time implementation and monitor real time runs.
- Perform preliminary evaluations.
- Develop IR and OHC climatologies for the IO and SH.
- Code Modifications to accommodate the S. Hemisphere.
- Statistical development of new SHIPS/LGEM/RII.
- Updating of statistical baseline forecasts, extend to 10 days if necessary.
- Runs on retrospective cases for initial testing.
- Begin running experimental version in real-time at CIRA for evaluation.
- Coordination with NRL on implementation for real time tests.
- Evaluate over experimental real-time test period and update products as needed prior to operational implementation.
Progress Reports:
** No Progress Report **CIRA Themes relevant to this project:
- Satellite Algorithm Development, Training and Education