Andrea Schumacher
Andrea Schumacher
Research Associate II, RAMMB
Phone: (970) 491-8057
Fax: (970) 491-8241
Email:
Mailing Address:
Andrea Schumacher
Cooperative Institute for Research in the Atmosphere
Colorado State University
1375 Campus Delivery
Fort Collins, CO 80523-1375
Biography

Andrea Schumacher received her B.A. in Mathematics/Chemistry from New College of Florida in 2000 and M.S. in Atmospheric Science from Colorado State University in 2004. Her areas of research interest include tropical cyclone genesis, development of operational hurricane guidance products and decision support, transitioning research to operations, remote sensing of tropical cyclones, and societal impacts of weather. She joined CIRA in 2006 as a Research Associate and works with the Regional and Mesoscale Meteorology Branch (RAMMB).

Recent Work

Recent research projects include:

  • Expanding the NESDIS Tropical Cyclone Formation Probability product domain to include all global TC basins

  • Extending the NESDIS Tropical Cyclone Formation Probability product forecast range from 24 hr to 48 hr and beyond

  • Developing an automated tropical storm and hurricane watch/warning scheme from Monte Carlo Wind Speed Probability model output

  • Investigating the relationship between reduced hurricane track and forecast errors and potential reductions in warning distance and duration

  • Exploring the response of pet care professionals during evacuations for Hurricanes Gustav and Ike (2008)

Figure

Above: The NESDIS Tropical Cyclone Formation Probability product uses both environmental and convective parameters to estimate the 24-hour probability of TC formation in the Atlantic and E. Pacific tropical basins for each 5 x 5 degree latitude/longitude sub-regions within its domain. Due to positive feedback from users at operational centers such as the National Hurricane Center and Tropical Prediction Center, the TCFP product domain was recently extended to include the Central and Western N. Pacific tropical basins. With the developmental and pre-operational phases complete, the extended product is set to be transitioned to operations by summer of 2008. Once transition is complete, the TCFP product (eg. from 12 August 2006 formation of WP10) will provide the only objective, real-time, routinely verified, probabilistic TC formation guidance available for these regions.

Selected Publications

Quiring, S., A. Schumacher, C. Labosier, and L. Zhu, 2011:  Variations in mean annual tropical cyclone size in the Atlantic, J. Geophys. Res., 116, D09114, doi:10.1029/2010JD015011.

Schumacher, R.S., D.T. Lindsey, A.B. Schumacher, J. Braun, S.D. Miller and J.L. Demuth, 2010: Multidisciplinary Analysis of an Unusual Tornado: Meteorology, Climatology, and the Communication and Interpretation of Warnings.  Wea. and Forecasting, 25(5), pp. 1412-1429

Rappaport, E.N. J.L. Franklin, A.B. Schumacher, M.DeMaria, L.K. Shay and E.J. Gibney, 2010: Tropical Cyclone Intensity Change before U.S. Gulf Coast Landfall.  Wea. and Forecasting, 25(5), pp. 1380-1396.

Sherman-Morris, K., A. Schumacher, S. Drobot and K. McNeal, 2010:  Hurricane Preparedness and Response among Pet Care Providers along the Gulf Coast: An Investigation of Hurricanes Gustav and Ike.  International Journal of Mass Emergencies and Disasters, 28 (3).

Schumacher, A.B., M. DeMaria and J.A. Knaff, 2009: Objectively Estimation of the 24-Hour Probability of Tropical Cyclone Formation, Wea. Forecasting, 24, 456-471.

Knaff, J.A., T.A. Cram, A.B. Schumacher, J.P. Kossin, and M. DeMaria, 2008: Objective Identification of Annular Hurricanes. Wea. Forecasting, 23, 17–28.

Montgomery, M. T., M. E. Nicholls, T. A. Cram and A. B. Saunders. 2006: A Vortical Hot Tower Route to Tropical Cyclogenesis. J. Atmos. Sci., 63, pp. 355–386.

General Themes
Resumes: PDF
Projects
All CIRA Personnel