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INTERPRETATION DISCUSSION
January 9, 2002 |
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Precipitation coverage, intensity and type are inferred from a loop of GOES-8 infrared imagery (Ch. 4) from 14:45-22:45 UTC and surface temperature observations at 24:00 UTC. The several key features are seen in the infrared loop (Figure 2): Surface observations show freezing temperatures north of Massachusetts
(at the end of this exercise, a national surface map/radar mosaic is presented).
Based on the infrared loop and surface temperature observations, the
following distribution of precipitation is inferred:
Light precipitation is expected beneath persistent and/or growing clouds with tops colder than –10C. These clouds contain high concentrations of supercooled liquid water droplets that are ready to nucleate, grow by deposition / aggregation / riming, and precipitate. Stated more generally, these clouds are primed for mixed phase precipitation production involving supercooled droplets and ice particles. Mixed phase precipitation production is important since it is much more capable of forming precipitation during the wintertime than warm rain precipitation production (i.e., collision-coalescence). Note that these precipitating clouds delineate a region of synoptic-scale rising motion. Moderate precipitation is expected under the contiguous line of cold
cloud since these deeper clouds are assumed to contain active mixed phase
regions where supercooled droplets and ice particles coexist and interact.
More intense precipitation is expected under areas with cooling and/or
banded tops since these features indicate enhanced vertical motions. Less
intense precipitation is expected under areas with warming cloud tops since
the warming suggests local subsidence. Moderate precipitation is expected
under isolated and transitory cloud elements since these clouds are assume
to contain active mixed phase regions.
The precipitation distribution inferred from satellite and surface temperature
observations is verified with a national surface map/radar mosaic at 24:00
UTC (Figure 3). The correspondence between cloud and precipitation features
can be seen in greater detail by comparing an infrared image at 23:15 UTC
(Figure 4) with a regional radar mosaic at 23:30 UTC (Figure 5). Click
on images (Figures 3 - 5) to enlarge.
The interested reader should refer to Bader et al. (1995) for more information on satellite interpretation. |
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We welcome your comments and discussion at ramsdis@comet.ucar.edu
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| Information Contact: Lewis Grasso |
| CIRA/RAMM WebMaster: Hiro Gosden |
| Authors: Bard Zajac |
| Last Updated: January 9, 2002 |