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INTERPRETATION DISCUSSION
July 27, 2001 |
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The evening sounding taken at 00:00 UTC 19 July (Figure 2) at Bismarck,
ND shows that CAPE values had increased to 5000 J/Kg, the LCL/LFC was relatively
low (at a height of 835 mb), and that the winds aloft had increased with
the arrival of the upper jet. The 00:00 UTC 19 July MesoEta analysis of
surface CAPE, MSLP and winds (Figure 3) shows CAPE values around 5000 J/kg
in eastern North Dakota. A trough is situated along the western edge of
the high CAPE axis. Converging surface flow can be seen along this
trough and visible satellite imagery (Figure 4) shows a line of towering
cumulus developing along this line. The NESDIS
FPDT single field of view CAPE product in (Figure 5) shows the instability
may have been even greater than the MesoEta analysis, but the location
seems to correspond well.
The visible satellite loop (Figure 6) shows storms developing along the boundary mentioned above beginning about 21:30 UTC. A series of interactions may seen between several storms along this line. Between 22:30 and 22:46 UTC one cell along the line (Storm A) rapidly develops a near vertical wall of towers along its west side (brightly lit by afternoon sunshine). In the period from 22:46 to 23:00 a back-sheared anvil expands rapidly westward. It is during this time period that the first tornado is reported. A smaller, shorter-lived storm, (Storm B) develops to its immediate south and an outflow from that cell intersects Storm A between 23:00 and 23:23 UTC. An apparent storm merger seems to occur shortly thereafter between the two storms. During this time, storm chaser Paul Sirvatka observed a large tornado. Storm A appears to split sometime between 23:46 and 00:00 UTC. Finally, a third storm (Storm C) forms near Jamestown, ND between 23:30 and 00:00 UTC. It produced large hail and later (1:53 UTC) a tornado. Figure 7 is a loop of 0.5° base reflectivity from the KMVX radar
in Grand Forks, ND spanning the period from 22:58
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| Information Contact: Lewis Grasso |
| CIRA/RAMM WebMaster: Hiro Gosden |
| Authors: Dan Bikos and John Weaver |
| Last Updated: July 27, 2001 |